NFL Week 2 Picks Against the Spread: Trust the Steelers, (gulp) Bills to cover at home

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Final week I pressured the Falcons on Thursday night time and this week I wished to power the Ravens in opposition to the Bengals. Perhaps I will be taught my lesson about betting in opposition to home groups on Thursday night time by a while subsequent century. 

At any fee, it is a bizarre week, as a result of we’re making an attempt to keep away from Week 1 overreactions. What we noticed in the first week is just not typically actuality — the Buccaneers blasted the Saints and the Steelers tied the Browns, whereas the Chiefs manhandled the Chargers. The outcomes should not essentially going to merely be the similar. In actual fact, most of them might be totally different. Soccer is fickle! 

Anyway, holler at me on Twitter @WillBrinson for those who love or hate these and let’s keep heat after a pleasant Week 1 outing that noticed us go 4-1. All traces are locked on Wednesday for the SuperContest. 

If you need extra NFL evaluation to your picks in opposition to the unfold, be certain and subscribe to the Decide Six Podcast, our every day NFL podcast. 

What NFL picks are you able to make with confidence in Week 2? And what Tremendous Bowl contender is in for an enormous shock? Go to SportsLine now to see which NFL groups are profitable greater than 50 % of simulations, all from the mannequin that has overwhelmed 98 % of specialists over the previous two years.  

Pittsburgh Steelers (-4) vs. Kansas Metropolis Chiefs

The Chiefs are a darling after their massive Week 1 output in Patrick Mahomes‘ debut as a full-time starter. They have been explosive and enthralling, and which means they are going to be just a little overvalued. However they don’t seem to be overvalued on this line, proper? As a substitute it appears too apparent to take Kansas Metropolis. However I am zigging right here for a few causes. One, the Steelers are a significantly better staff at home. Two, the Steelers will not do a bunch of dumb stuff to price themselves factors like the Chargers. And three, whereas Andy Reid may be a greater coach than Mike Tomlin, Tomlin’s managed to dominate the Chiefs with Reid there when he has a wholesome Ben Roethlisberger. Ben was again at observe Friday and ought to be a full go for Sunday’s tilt on CBS. 

New York Giants (+3) at Dallas Cowboys

Shocked at the quantity of people that like the Cowboys on this spot, though hating on Dallas is certainly an overreaction sort of state of affairs I suppose. My largest concern is the Cowboys simply appeared horrible in a really particular spot, on the inside of their offensive line, the place a scarcity of Travis Frederick confirmed up in a really massive means. The Giants have a energy on the inside, thanks to the presence of Damon Harrison and rookie B.J. Hill. They need to give you the option to get ample strain up the center to wreck Dak Prescott’s day, and a scarcity of receiving choices will let the Giants maintain this shut and in the end win the sport. I anticipate an enormous outing from each Saquon Barkley and Odell Beckham as effectively.

Buffalo Bills (+7) vs. Los Angeles Fees

Grip your nostril as laborious as humanly potential and pinch, then pull the set off on the Bills. This did not really feel good and it’d really feel even worse come Sunday at about 1:30 p.m. ET when Philip Rivers has lobbed a pair of touchdowns to Keenan Allen. On the different hand, betting in opposition to the Chargers in September has confirmed to be a worthwhile enterprise, and that is hardly a good state of affairs for them. Los Angeles is touring throughout the nation to play in a foul spot. Buffalo went 5-2-1 in opposition to the unfold at home final 12 months, together with straight up wins as massive underdogs over the Chiefs and Broncos. They went 6-2 straight up at home final 12 months, with their solely losses coming to the Patriots and Saints, a few first rate groups. 

Denver Broncos (-6) vs. Oakland Raiders

That is as a lot a wager in opposition to the Raiders as it’s for the Broncos. Oakland put all the pieces on the line in opposition to the Rams in the first week of the season and will nonetheless solely grasp for 3 quarters at home in primetime. Denver is not so good as the Rams — not even shut, actually — however the protection may be higher. The go dashing combo of Von Miller and Bradley Chubb will create points for Oakland’s safety (which was surprisingly good in opposition to the Rams’ nasty defensive position), and it is laborious to see the Raiders receivers getting open in opposition to the Broncos cornerbacks. Jon Gruden already used the “throw it to Jared Prepare dinner and Jalen Richard” gameplan as soon as — we’ll see if it may well work a second time. Oakland’s protection is coming off a brief week and might be enjoying at altitude — this could possibly be a Royce Freeman breakout sport coming. 

New Orleans Saints (-8.5) vs. Cleveland Browns

I actually struggled with who to take on this ultimate spot — I wished to go along with the Packers or the Vikings relying on Aaron Rodgers‘ standing, however we do not know sufficient about whether or not the Packers’ quarterback will play to make it a worthwhile play. I do not need DeShone Kizer +7 however I additionally don’t need the Vikings -7 on the highway in opposition to Rodgers after seeing what he did to the Bears final week. So as a substitute I am going to wager in opposition to Hue Jackson, who obtained his staff amped up for a matchup in opposition to the Steelers at home however now has to journey on the highway in opposition to a very indignant Saints squad that is mad about dropping to the Buccaneers and Ryan Fitzpatrick in Week 1. The Saints are an enormous favourite, however went 5-Three final 12 months in opposition to the unfold, profitable these video games by a mean of 10.2 factors per sport. 

2018 report

  • Final week finest bets: 4-1
  • Finest bets season: 4-1
  • Final week general: 9-6-1
  • Season general: 9-7-1

https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/nfl-week-2-picks-against-the-spread-trust-the-steelers-gulp-bills-to-cover-at-home/

 

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